The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) continues strongly in the Active Phase focused on the dateline but migrating east through 2/19. It is to continue to provide support for storm formation in the West Pacific easing east through then. Storm #22 started build off Southern Japan on Sat (2/6) pushing east tot he dateline through Mon PM with 45 kt west winds and seas in the 35-39 ft range and very far to the south. Some degree of significant class swell is expected into Hawaii on Wed (2/10) with utility class swell into CA late in the week. The remnants of this system are forecast to reorganize on the dateline Tues (2/9) resulting in more 50 kt winds and 39-41 ft seas for a short duration.  This to produce Swell #23 for Hawaii  and California and occurring about in-sync with Swell #22. The models erroneously are showing these 2 separate swell trains arriving as one large swell. Beyond the models are suggesting a string of smaller storms are to form off the CA coast later this week into the weekend, typical with the eastward propagation of the Active Phase of the MJO. More swell likely to result. 

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