Surf Forecast Hawaii (STORMSURF)

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QuikCAST
Surf Forecast - Hawaii
5 Day Surf Forecast

Forecast Updated:
Monday, February 8, 2010 9:55 PM GMT

Surf Scale: 3 ft = waist high, 4 ft = chest high, 5 ft = head high, 10 ft =double overhead
Swell Direction is direction swell is coming from. 90°=East, 180°=South, 270°=West, 360-0 = North

NOTE: Forecast does NOT account for enhancing bathymetry (i.e the 'reef effect') common at best breaks. For top spots with swell period 14 +secs, multiply surf size X 1.25-1.5 with peaks X 2 (or consider the stated size 'Hawaiian Scale').

Hawaiian North Shore Surf Forecast (Valid for the North and East Shores of Oahu)
Day	Trend	Wind (kts)	Details (Swell Number, Swell Size & Period, Arrival Time and Profile)	Waves (Set wave max face height)	Swell Direction
Tuesday 2/9	Down	E 15	Windswell at 4.2 ft @ 11-12 secs Longer period energy building in underneath late.	4.5 ft	315 degrees
Wednesday 2/10	Up	ENE 10 early	Swell #22 building to 9.3-9.7 ft @ 17 secs	16 ft	297-305 degrees
Thursday 2/11	Down slightly	NE 20	Swell #22 fading from 9.5 ft @ 16 secs early	15 ft	297-305 degrees
Friday 2/12	Down some	ENE 15 late	Swell #22 fading from 9.1 ft @ 14 secs early with northerly energy from Storm #23 intermixed	12-13 ft	297-305+ degrees
Saturday 2/13	Down slightly	ENE 15 late	Swell #22/23 fading from 8.5 ft @ 13-14 secs early	11 ft	305-315 degrees
Extended Outlook	Holding	---	The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) continues strongly in the Active Phase focused on the dateline but migrating east through 2/19. It is to continue to provide support for storm formation in the West Pacific easing east through then. Storm #22 started build off Southern Japan on Sat (2/6) pushing east tot he dateline through Mon PM with 45 kt west winds and seas in the 35-39 ft range and very far to the south. Some degree of significant class swell is expected into Hawaii on Wed (2/10). The remnants of this system are forecast to reorganize on the dateline Tues (2/9) resulting in more 50 kt winds and 39-41 ft seas for a short duration. This to produce sideband swell for Hawaii occurring about in-sync with Swell #22. Beyond the models are suggesting a string of smaller storms are to form over the dateline pushing east on a fast track north of Hawaii later this week into the weekend, typical with the eastward propagation of the Active Phase of the MJO. More sideband swell likely to result.	---	---

Surf Height Animation: Northeast Pacific - Hawaii
Wind Animations: Northeast Pacific - Hawaii
Local Model: Surf - Wind

Hawaiian South Shore Surf Forecast (Centered on the South Shore of Oahu)
Day	Trend	Wind (kts)	Details (Swell Number, Swell Size & Period, Arrival Time and Profile)	Waves (Set wave max face height)	Swell Direction
Tuesday 2/9	Down	E 15	No swell of interest forecast	2 ft or less	---
Wednesday 2/10	Down	ENE 10 early	No swell of interest forecast	2 ft or less	---
Thursday 2/11	Up some	NE 20	Southern hemi swell 2.6 ft @ 17 secs	4.5-5.0 ft	185 degrees
Friday 2/12	Down some	ENE 15 late	Southern hemi swell 2.6 ft @ 15 secs	4..0 ft	185 degrees
Saturday 2/13	Down some	ENE 15 late	Southern hemi swell 2.3 ft @ 14 secs early	3.0 ft	185 degrees
Extended Outlook	Down	---	The South Pacific is asleep for the winter. A small gale formed under New Zealand Wed/Thurs (2/4) generating 32 ft seas pushing due north right at the Islands. Small early season swell to results.	---	---

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