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Pacific Storm and Surf Forecast
Updated: November 28, 2009 5:42 PM
Buoys: Northern CA - Southern CA - Hawaii - Gulf of Alaska - Pacific Northwest
Buoy Forecast:
Northern CA - Southern CA - Hawaii - Gulf of Alaska - Pacific Northwest
Pacific Links:  Atmospheric Models - Buoy Data - Current Weather - Wave Models
Forecast Archives: Enter Here
A chronology of recent Mavericks Underground forecasts. Once you enter, just click on the HTML file forecast you want to review (e.g. 073199.html equals July 31, 1999). To view the maps that correspond to that forecast date, select the html file labeled 073199 maps.html
Swell Potential Rating = 3.8 - California & 3.6 - Hawaii
Using the 'Winter' Scale
(See Swell Category Table link at bottom of page)
Probability for presence of largest swells in near-shore waters of NCal, SCal or Hawaii.    
Issued for Week of Monday 11/30 thru Sun 12/6
Swell Potential Rating Categories
5 = Good probability for 3 or more days of Significant swell
4 = Good probability for 1-2 days of Significant swell
3 = Good probability for 3 or more days of Intermediate/Advanced swell
2 = Good probability for  1-2 days of
Intermediate/Advanced swell
1 = Good probability for 3 or more days of Impulse or Windswell
0 = Low probability for 1-2 days of Impulse or Windswell   

Northwestern Gulf Getting Active
Strong Storm Pattern Forecast Longterm for Dateline

 

New Swell Classification Guidelines (Winter)

Significant: Winter - Swell 8 ft @ 14 secs or greater (11+ ft faces) for 8+ hours (greater than double overhead). Summer - Head high or better.
Advanced: Winter - Swell and period combination capable of generating faces 1.5 times overhead to double overhead (7-10 ft) Summer - Chest to head high.
Intermediate: Winter - Swell and period combination generating faces at head high to 1.5 times overhead (4-7 ft). Summer - Waist to chest high.
Impulse/Windswell: Winter - Swell and period combination generating faces up to head high (1-4 ft) or anything with a period less than 11 secs. Summer - up to waist high swell. Also called 'Background' swell.

PACIFIC OVERVIEW
On Saturday (11/28) North and Central California was getting trashed by hard northwest winds and locally generated large windswell with waves 15 ft or better and blown to bits. It doesn't really matter though after the epic 20 ft surf glassy of Thanksgiving Day coming from Storm #3 in the Western Gulf and the 15 ft clean leftovers early Friday AM. Southern California was getting the northwest windswell too with waves head high and maybe a foot more up north but pretty hacked early with northwest winds on it hard. Surf was smaller down in LA and North Orange Co, in the chest to maybe head high range but 2-3 ft overhead in San Diego, with northwest winds on it hard in all cases. Hawaii's North Shore had fallen into the small range after a good but short run of solid swell on Wed/Thurs with waves to maybe 15 ft Hawaiian. Surf now was down to shoulder high and clean, leftovers from Storm #3 with new longer period energy from the north starting to arrive providing swell in the chest high range as well. The East Shore was effectively flat. The South Shore had a few knee to thigh high sets and clean with trades in effect. 

The forecast for North and Central CA is for the local windswell to fade some on Sunday with waves 4 ft overhead with conditions vastly improving (offshore winds) while new swell from a gale over the far Northwestern Gulf starts to arrive pushing near double overhead. The Western Gulf swell is to hold on Monday at double overhead or just a little more with improved consistency then start dropping on Tuesday to 4 ft overhead and 2 ft overhead on Wednesday. Not to shabby. Southern California is to see the same pattern with improving winds early Sunday and windswell dropping to the chest high range but then getting trashed with a renewed push of northwest winds later. Monday surf is to be shoulder high range coming from the northwestern Gulf with intermixed more local and short period swell, holding at shoulder high Tuesday and dropping to waist to maybe chest high on Wednesday. The North Shore of Hawaii is see more of the Northwestern Gulf swell arrive on Sunday with waves 3 ft overhead from 330 degrees, turning more northerly on Monday at 3-4 ft overhead then dropping to 2 ft overhead on Tuesday. Maybe the leading edge of another northerly swell to hit on Wednesday at 4-5 ft overhead. The East Shore is to have east-northeast local windswell at chest high Sunday pushing head high Monday, shoulder high Tuesday and  head high Wednesday.  We're not forecasting for the South Shore now that winter-time rules are in effect.  

Longterm the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) continues solidly into the Active Phase with the Inactive Phase out of the picture. With that and a building El Nino pattern, the potential for a building storm pattern is increasing, and it now looks like the North Pacific will not be denied. As mentioned previous a storm built in the far Northwestern Gulf Wed-Thurs (11/26) with 32-35 ft seas. That swell is just now starting to hit Hawaii, also bound for the US West Coast on Sunday. Another storm is building now in the Northern Gulf with 35 ft seas forecast to push to near 40 ft tonight, but on the hairy northern edge of the NCal swell window and almost totally out of reach of Hawaii. But no fear because yet another most solid storm is forecast for the Northern Dateline region Sun-Tues (12/1) with 37 ft seas aimed well to the east (US West Coast) with sideband energy for Hawaii. And then a far stronger system is on the charts for Wed-Fri (12/4) on the dateline with with 41 ft seas targeting both Hawaii and the US mainland. A very active pattern indeed, with more on the charts behind that. And the southern hemi is not completely asleep either, with the area under New Zealand having produced a gale with 30 ft seas on Thurs (11/26) and a storm with 40 ft seas over a small area on Fri (11/27). So the South Shore of Hawaii might swell something too.   

In all reality, the amount of gale/storm activity is to ramp up so high that we might start moving into El Nino mode of forecasting, where we discuss only the major systems, and make only passing references to the smaller ones, just to limit the amount of words on the page. This is a good thing, and we haven't had to use that approach since the big El Nino of 97/98 (just to put things into historical perspective).

 

SHORT- TERM FORECAST
Current marine weather and wave analysis plus forecast conditions for the next 72 hours

North Pacific

Overview
On Saturday (11/28) the North Pacific jetstream had a decent consolidated flow pushing off Japan at 120-130 kts, dipping into a trough in the Western Gulf but also splitting just west of Hawaii with the secondary flow pushing into Baja. The trough was supporting development of a gale there. Over the next 72 hrs the split point is to push east to a point mid-way between Hawaii and California supporting high pressure there, while the Gulf trough tracks northeast into Canada. Winds are to be on the increase off Japan building to 150-160 kts all the way into the Central Gulf of Alaska by Monday (11/30) with a new weak trough starting to carve out over the northern dateline region pushing east and supporting gale formation. Beyond 72 hours an even better pattern is to emerge, with winds off Japan building to 170 kts over a large area and an solid deep trough developing on the dateline Wed (12/2) getting most impressive late Thurs (12/4) with 200 kts winds flowing into it and moving to a point just north of Hawaii. That trough to fade there while a new trough builds right on top of it on Saturday (12/5) with 180 kts winds. Major storms are possible from both of these troughs.

At the surface on Saturday (11/28) tropical energy from the West Pacific had wrapped up in the Northern Gulf and was steaming northeast (see Gulf Storm below). Also swell from a gale that was on the northern dateline region Wed-Thurs (11/26) was pushing southeast, starting to hit Hawaii and bound for the US West Coast. Meteorologically high pressure was 600 nmiles off Northern CA with low pressure inland, generating a pressure gradient and north wind of 35+ kts from Cape Mendocino southward to Monterey Bay resulting in large local north windswell pushing down along the coast targeting Baja. A second high was over the dateline with another low pressure system starting to wrap up off the Northern Kuril Islands. A very active pattern appears to be developing.

Over the next 72 hours high pressure is to be pushing inland and dissolving over California setting up and offshore flow there with weak high pressure located North and northeast of Hawaii with trades in control there. At the same the gale off the Kuril's Islands is to start wrapping up setting up a solid fetch of 45-50 kt northwest winds Sunday AM (11/29) blowing over the Aleutians and into unobstructed waters of the North Pacific at 50N 175E with additional 45-50 kt southwest winds feeding into the front preceding it. 25 ft seas building at 48N 178W. In the evening 45-50 kt west-northwest to hold stationary over the extreme northern North Pacific in association with a large storm landlocked in the Bering Sea with 30 ft seas building at 50N 180W. The fetch is to start sinking south on Monday AM (11/30) with 50-55 kt west-northwest winds building just clear of the Aleutians at 52N 180W with 37 ft seas building at 49N 175W. This looks a little like a marginal call by the models though. Finally in the evening a clear fetch of 45-50 kt west winds are to sink south of the Aleutians at 51N 170W with 41 ft seas modeled at 50N 170W. The fetch is to remain stationary Tuesday AM (12/1) with 40 kt west-northwest winds holding at 50N 170W with 39 ft seas holding at 50N 165W. The fetch is to be gone in the evening. If all this develops as forecast, a bit of a leap of faith at this point in time, solid longer period northerly swell should result for NCal (306-308 degrees) by the weekend but mostly bypassing Hawaii.


North Dateline Gale
On Wednesday (11/25) a gale off Kamchatka made it to the dateline and started building some with up to 45 kts west winds at 50N 180W aimed due east up the 306 degree great circle path to North CA with 32 ft seas developing there, holding into the evening but reorganizing while dropping south some, with 35 ft seas at 49N 178W.  Thursday AM (11/26) 45 kt northwest winds were modeled pushing southeast to 48N 165W with 32 ft seas at 49N 168W then tracking northeast up into the Northern Gulf with 32 ft seas at 50N 160W.

Some degree of limited 17 sec period swell has resulted pushing east and southeast towards Hawaii with arrival on Saturday (11/28) and the US Mainland on Sunday (1//29).

Swell for Hawaii to peak late Saturday (11/28) at 7.2 ft @ 17 secs (12 ft faces) from 333 degrees, fading to 6.6 ft @ 14 secs early Sunday (9 ft faces) .

Swell for Northern CA to arrive Sunday AM (11/29) pushing 6 ft @ 17 secs (10 ft faces) then dropping to 6 ft @ 14-15 secs on Monday (8-9 ft faces). Swell direction 304-307 degrees.

 

Gulf Storm
At the surface on Saturday (11/28) tropical energy from the West Pacific was starting to wrap up in the Northern Gulf of Alaska. Actually 45 kt west winds were modeled at 42N 165W Friday AM (11/27) lifting northeast and building to 50 kts in the evening at 48N 158W. 30 ft seas were modeled then at 45N 160W on the 296 degree path to North CA 1700 nmiles out but pretty much bypassing Hawaii to the East. Up to 55 kt west winds were modeled Saturday AM (11/28) at 51N 150W with 36 ft seas at 48N 152W aimed reasonably well down the 308 degree path to NCal. By Sat PM this system is to be out of the picture with 45 kts winds nuzzling up to Northern Canada with 40 ft seas over a tiny area ar 53N 143W and out of even the Ncal swell window.

Expect swell arrival in North CA on Monday (11/30) at 1 PM with pure swell 6.5 ft @ 17 secs (12 ft faces) but turning more northerly over time. On Tuesday swell to be 6.5 ft @ 14 secs (9 ft faces). Swell Direction 296+ degrees

 

North Pacific Animations: Jetstream - Surface Pressure/Wind - Sea Height - Surf Height

 

California Nearshore Forecast
On Saturday (11/28) hard north winds were raking the Central CA coast, courtesy of high pressure at 1032 mbs 600 nmiles off the coast and low pressure inland. By Sunday that is to be fading out with a light offshore flow in effect for the entire state other than Cape Mendocino, and then even there by Monday AM. A weak pressure pattern an light winds if not calm winds are forecast through Thursday (12/3). High pressure is to move into the Pacific Northwest then with another north wind event scheduled for Friday (12/4) turning offshore on Saturday and holding for the weekend.


Tropics
With the MJO in the Active Phase, net tropical activity is expected to head up some starting 11/20, though it is late in the season. This will be a true test of this El Ninos strength.

Right on cue Typhoon Nida formed in the West Pacific (11/24) with sustained winds 75 kts located 300 nmiles south of Saipan. Slow and steady strengthening occurred with winds up to 110 kts on Friday (11/27) and then reaching Super Typhoon strength to 130 kts on Saturday (11/28). Nida was drifting slowly north remaining in open waters well east of the Northern Philippines with no change forecast. Slowly declining wind speeds are forecast through the week with Nida slowly fading out in the same general area. No swell is expected to US interests directly, though tropical outflow from it is expected to fuel several winter-like storms in the North Pacific in the coming days.

 

South Pacific

Overview
At the surface no swell producing fetch was occurring and none is forecast for the next 72 hours.

Previously a series of gales past under New Zealand, the first on Wednesday afternoon (11/25) generating 40-45 kts southwest fetch and nearly 30 ft sea at 50S 170E aimed decently at Hawaii, pushing to 47S 178E Thursday AM (12/26) with swell possibly radiating northeast towards Hawaii.  Another stronger but still small system followed Friday AM (11/27) with 55 kt southwest winds and 37 ft seas at 52S 175E, tracking east-northeast with 50 kts winds and 42 ft sea at 52S 178W in the evening,  pushing 38 ft Saturday AM at 52S 170W with winds fading and falling to the southeast. Possible rideable southern hemi swell for could materialize for Hawaii a week out, but will likely be irrelevant compared to what's coming from the north.


South Pacific Animations: Jetstream - Surface Pressure/Wind - Sea Height - Surf Height

 

QuikCAST's

 

LONG-TERM FORECAST
Marine weather and forecast conditions 3-10 days into the future

North Pacific

Beyond 72 hrs another tropically fueled gale is forecast to be tracking east off Japan starting late Monday (11/30) building while tracking towards the dateline Tuesday then blooming on Wednesday on the dateline with 55 kt northwest winds by 6Z Wed building quickly to near 60 kts and holding through 06Z Thurs with 50 kts winds till late afternoon. All this fetch is to be a 40N and between 175E and 170W aimed well initially at Hawaii but also providing solid momentum to the east. Seas are modeled up to 44 ft at 40N 173W Thursday AM (12/03). Possible large significant class swell could push into Hawaii and California if this all goes as modeled, but that is far from a reality at this early date.

Right behind and in the same area yet another solid tropical fed storm is forecast with 45-50 kt west winds are forecast Sat-Sun (12/6) pushing seas again to 37 ft or better right on the dateline at 39N. Most impressive of all this pans out, but that is purely a leap of faith at this early date. In all, the models point to a far more active storm track in the week ahead.  

 

MJO/ENSO Update (reference): As of Saturday (11/28) the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) was in the Active Phase supporting the continued evolution of El Nino. The ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation) index continued in the negative range with the Daily SOI index up some to -9.48 (16 days in a row). The 30 day average was up to -8.28 while the 90 average was flat at -5.96.  This continues looking more like a legitimate El Nino based solely on the SOI. Wind anomalies at the 850 mb level (approx 5000 ft up) as defined by models indicated a strong and broad area of westerly anomalies consistent with the Active Phase covering the the Eastern Indian Ocean and West Pacific reaching to the dateline and pushing east from there. The Active Phase is to continue pushing east reaching into the Eastern PAcific on 12/2 and tracking east from there while slowly fading, reaching Central America on 12/7 but still solid on the dateline then slowly dissipating through 12/17. A weak version of the Inactive Phase is forecast trying to get legs in the Indian Ocean at the same time.  This episode is looking stronger than the last run served up by the models. Net storm actively is likely to be enhanced during the Active Phase.

Sea Surface Temp anomaly data (11/26) indicates that warmer than normal waters are consolidated on the equator from Ecuador west to the dateline, but have been steadily pulling away from the Baja coast.  The lack of a real Kelvin Wave in a while is likely not helping that situation, as well as the Inactive Phase being in control for the moment.  But with the coming of a new strong Kelvin Wave (see below) there is some anticipation that warmer waters might build to the north. From an El Nino perspective, it make no real difference though.  The expanse of the warmer waters continues to hold on equator, though not deepening any. This overall warmer water signature remains not anything exceptional, but clearly in the moderate El Nino category.  

Of interest, the water temp anomaly data provided by NOAA/NESDIS (satellite based) versus the TAO/TRITON buoy array, present different depictations of the same event. The TAO array suggests max heating is occurring on the dateline, with temps easing as one tracks east, while the satellite based data from NOAA presents an analysis of continuous warm waters over the length of the equator from Ecuador to the dateline. The difference is in how the data is collected (buoys at fixed points versus a satellite view of the entire playing field).  We're siding with the satellite view not because it is more favorable, but because we believe it more accurately represents reality.  The buoy arrays strength is in waters temps at depth (i.e. for detecting Kelvin Waves). This is exactly what the array was built to detect. The satellite view cannot do that. Likewise, the satellite has far superior coverage.    

Below the surface on the equator things continue to look favorable. A steady flow of warmer than normal subsurface water continues tracking from the West Pacific (150 m below the surface) under the dateline and breaking the surface near Central America as it has for months now.  As of 11/28 a core of 5+ deg warmer than normal sub-surface water is currently tracking east located at 110W with it's leading edge near 105W, inidcating it is making good eastward progress and holding together well. This Kelvin Wave that first appeared under the dateline on 9/17 and has been tracking steadily east since then. This remains a very solid Kelvin Wave, and large in areal coverage too. This sub-surface temperature wave is the result of a prolonged persistent  westerly surface wind flow that had been in-place west of the dateline from 9/8 and continued into 11/5. It is expected to reach the coast of Ecuador in the first week of December. This should have a significant positive impact enhancing the existing warm pool when it hits Central America.  

Over the Equatorial Pacific and consistent with the Active Phase, surface winds were starting to move anomalously from the west extending the whole way from Indonesia to a point south of Hawaii, with weak real west winds confirmed in the far West Pacific. A new Westerly Wind Burst might be developing which could help to form yet another Kelvin Wave. This would be good. The Kelvin Wave currently tracking east was formed from a prolonged bout and multiple pulses of westerly winds and westerly anomalies that occurred from 9/8 through 11/2. At one point towards it's end the anomalies reached the whole way from the West Pacific to almost Ecuador. Embedded in that run were Typhoons Dujuan, Choi-Wan, Parma, Melor and Nepartak. All this helped to deepen the surface warm pool in the tropical Eastern Pacific.  

El Nino is expected to affect the global atmospheric weather pattern at least through Spring of next year if not into the middle of summer. All data suggests this will not be a strong El Nino, more likely a moderate one. NOAA's last update (11/5) forecasts the same outcome, though hints at some uncertainty.  In short, all the best models aren't exactly sure how this is going to play out. Regardless a solid accumulation of warm water in the equatorial East Pacific is evidence in-favor of continued development. As long as there continues to be WWB's (as there obviously is), then warm water will be migrating east, and the warm water pattern will hold if not build, and the atmosphere above it will respond in-kind to the change (towards El Nino). At this point there is no evidence to suggest this El Nino will stall or dissipate. The only remaining question is whether it will hold, or grow. And current data indicates that the warm pool will hold if not slowly build. And historically it is already larger and strong than any other in the past 12 years. 

The current El Nino is gaining strength, with a 2 degree water temp anomaly in the tropical East Pacific the likely outcome. Coverage is pretty solid for this event, but the lack of really high water temp anomalies will likely limit it's strength. Strong El Ninos bring lot's of bad weather to the US West Coast, along with the potential for storm and swell enhancement. A moderate El Nino provides storm and swell enhancement, a gentle but steady push/momentum in-favor of storm development rather than the manic frenzy of a strong El Nino, but without all the weather associated with a strong event. So in many ways a moderate El Nino is more favorable from a surf perspective. As of right now things remain better than anything the Pacific has seen in the past 12 years regarding anomalous sea surface temperatures, besting anything since the big El Nino of 1997. That is very good news.  But the lack of anomalous water temps exceeding 3 degrees and an unremarkable SOI suggests a modest El Nino at best. Still, it should be enough to provide storm enhancement, and a better than average winter surf season for the North Pacific, and still likely better than anything in the past 10 years. Better yet, if it's not too strong (as this event appears to be) perhaps it will not degrade into La Nina the year after (which typically happens after stronger El Ninos), but hold in some mild El Nino like state for several years in a row. This would be an even better outcome.    

See more details in the new  El Nino update.

 

South Pacific

Beyond 72 hours the models suggest no swell producing fetch is to develop.   

Details to follow...

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External Reference Material: El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), Kelvin Wave

Add a STORMSURF Buoy Forecast to your Google Homepage. Click Here: Add to Google
Then open your Google homepage, hit 'edit' button (top right near graph), and select your location


MAVERICKSSURF MAVFILM MAVSURFER SURFPULSE Inside Mavericks Randy Cone Surfboards

Local Interest

See a screening of recent Powerlines Production Mav's footage: Tues Dec 1st at 6 PM at La Costanera Restaurant, Montara Beach. www.lacostanerarestaurant.com 8150 Cabrillo Hwy, Montara CA 650-728-1600

Interview With Stormsurf:  The crew at SurfScience.com worked with Stormsurf on a feature about why surfers should be able to read wave charts themselves. They are firm believers that a little learning can go a long way to help your surfing.  This is a great article to help convince your friends that they can benefit from being able to read the data themsleves rather than just relying on the forecasts of others.  See the full thing here:  Create Your Own Surf Forecast with Stormsurf

Mavericks - Everest of the Sea & Longboard Vineyards: Come late October Sonoma County will not only welcome a new crop of world class wines, but the award winning photography of some of Action Sports best lensmen. “ Mavericks – Everest of the Seas” comes alive again just in time to set the stage for another epic Big Wave Season. Mix two of Northern California's finest institutions – big wave surfing and the wine country – and you have what promises to be an amazing weekend at the Longboard Vineyards Tasting Room in Healdsburg
October 23 – 25.

Relive heroic battles between man and wave as seen through the eyes of the cutting-edge photojournalists who risk life and limb to document the wave's intense man-against-the-sea drama and obsessive lifestyle of Maverick's elite riders. Oded Shakked, a longtime surfer who founded Longboard Vineyards, will be unveiling his latest release, The Peter Mel/Mavericks Cabernet Sauvignon. This signature wine will be blended by not only Shakked but guest vintner, Peter Mel. Mel, one of the most respected names in Big Wave Surfing is known as perhaps the most skillful surfer ever to ride Mavericks. The famed spot off the Half Moon Bay. In October of 1998 he was whipped into to what is now considered the biggest wave ever ridden… Mel along with the featured photographers, surfboard shapers and wine makers will be on hand for the Friday night reception. The reception will begin at 5pm and run until roughly 9pm.

Longboard Vineyard has always had a soft spot for surfers. It's a place where you can hangout at a redwood-surfboard bar, or sample one
of its award winning wines while kicking back on a comfortable sofa watching surf movies. For this harvest weekend event Shakked has
enlisted “Mavericks: Everest of the Seas,” the heralded collection of Mavericks surf photography from Frank Quirarte, Doug Acton, Seth
Migdail and Ed Grant.

“Everest of the Seas” first made its debut recently at the Coastal Arts League Gallery in Half Moon Bay, drawing large crowds and an
enthusiastic response. It just finished a one-month highly successful run at San Francisco's world class Museum and Gallery, SFMOMA.“Everyone who sees the exhibit is just blown away,” said Grant, the curator of the Coastal Arts League Gallery. “Both surfers and non-surfers can't help but get caught up in the energy and stoke that surrounds Maverick's, the surfers and photographers who put it on the
line every time they go out there.”

The event also represents a high point in the career of Oded Shakked, who was born in Israel and grew up near a beach just north of Tel
Aviv. Immersed in surfing from the start, he made several trips around Europe's Atlantic coast while discovering, to his delight, that “it
was easier, cheaper and safer to drink good red wine than bottled water.” His twin loves of surfing and wine brought him to California,
where he studied winemaking at UC Davis and became enamored with the people, climate and rich soil of Sonoma County. He founded Longboard Vineyards with the motto “Wine, waves and soul,” making it a highly unique fixture in wine country.

The October 23-25 weekend will also feature the sale of surfboards and memorabilia, along with Acton's acclaimed book, “Inside Maverick's.”
Admission is free. Opening reception sponsored by Maverick Events and Longboard Vineyards

The Kelly Slater Project - A fundraiser is scheduled for Aug 29th at the Cocoa Beach Country Club to help raise funds for both the Kelly Slater Project and the Central Florida Animal Reserve. A Casino night is planned including a silent auction and raffle. Sponsors are also needed. Learn more about these projects at : http://www.thekellyslaterproject.com/

Rebuild Jeff Clark: Jeff Clark the first pioneer of Mavericks, recently underwent hip resurfacing surgery due to severe pain from deterioration of his hip. Needless to say the procedure is very expensive and his insurance only covers tiny portion of the bill. If you're interested in learning about the procedure or would like to donate to help Jeff out, please take a look here: http://www.rebuildjeffclark.blogspot.com/

North California Surf Report Works Again: After an extended downtime we finally got the North California Surf Report working again. Thanks for your patience. See it here: http://www.stormsurf.com/page2/report/ncal.html

Shark Video: Our friend Curt Myers of Powerlines productions shot this footage of 2 great whites munching on a whale carcass off Devils Slide (south of San Francisco) on Thursday. Kind of interesting to watch. Check it here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8I4rZYEZMWQ (Fixed link)

Wave Model Upgrade Status Report: At this point we believe the installation of the new wave models is complete, with no problems being reported, the server stabilizing and the much requested return of the old style hemispheric Surf Height models now operational (again) and running side-by-side along the new ones. We thank you for your patience and input as we went though this process.  Your feedback helps guide our efforts and ultimately results in a better product for everyone.  Now we're off to start providing better menus to some wave model products most of you probably haven't uncovered yet (site specific graph and text forecasts), updateing the wave model FAQs and then upgrading the Weather Models.  

New Wave Model Facts: Click HERE to read more about the new wave models. Important info.

Stormsurf Wave Models Updated: On Friday (2/6) we installed the latest upgrade to our wavemodels. A year in the works, this upgrade essentially is a total re-write of every wave model product we produce. They now take advantage of the new Version 3 of the Wavewatch wavemodel. This version runs at a much higher resolution, specifically 0.0 X 0.5 degrees for the global grib with local products at 0.1667 X 0.1667 degrees, and it uses the hi-res GFS model for wind speeds. And of even more interest, the model now identifies primary swell and windwave variables. As such we now have new model images which displays this data. Also we've included out special 3D topographic land masks into all models. In all it makes for a radical step forward in wave model technology. We'll be upgrading minor components (FAQ, new menu pages etc) for a few weeks to come, but all the basics are available for your use now. Check it out here: http://www.stormsurf.com/mdls/menu_wam.html

Story About Stormsurf: The folks at SurfPulse (and specifically author Mike Wallace) have written up a really nice article about Stormsurf, complete with some good pics. Learn about how we came to be and a little of where we are going. Check it out here: http://www.surfpulse.com/2009/01/visceral-surf-forecasting-with-mark-sponsler/

Stormsurf Video: Just for fun - here's a clip about Stormsurf that ran on Bay Area TV a while back. Thought you might enjoy it: http://vimeo.com/2319455

Time Zone Converter By popular demand we've built and easy to use time convert that transposes GMT time to whatever time zone you are located. It's ion left hand column on every page on the site near the link to the swell calculator.

Need Chiropractic Help? Visit our friends at Darrow Chiropractic. Not only will Dr. Darrow fix you up, he might give you some big wave surfing tips too! See more here: http://www.darrowchiropractic.com/

Stormsurf Google Gadget - Want Stormsurf content on your Google Homepage? It's simple and free. If you have Google set as your default Internet Explorer Homepage, just click the link below and a buoy forecast will be added to your Google homepage. Defaults to Half Moon Bay CA. If you want to select a different location, just click on the word 'edit', and a list of alternate available locations appears. Pick the one of your choice. Content updates 4 times daily. A great way to see what waves are coming your way!
http://www.google.com/ig/add?moduleurl=http://www.stormsurf.com/gadget/stormsurf .xml

Free Stormsurf Stickers - Get your free stickers! - More details Here

Read all the latest news and happenings on our News Page here

Surf Height-Swell Height Correlation Table

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